![]() Well over the last 50 of these I showed to other players to verify/establish. ![]() For over 30 years, when starting with a 2-pair hand, I failed to ever flop a set to this 3.5/1 shot. Anyway, I've always had it in my head that this is an utterly impossible statistical result. Jeez, in writing this I only now realized that the 40% thing doesn't even matter, because it wasn't about whether they made it or not, but about how whether they made it or not matched up with what I needed. How many standard deviations from the expectation is that, and is it randomly feasible? As I said I didn't see this play at the time, so therefore every single one I did see went against the result I needed. So the idea is: what kind of anomaly is this, going like 1-99 in 100 or so trials. I just watched the play for the first time ever last night and I still can't believe I won that game. They missed it a wild throw way over everybody's head out of the end zone. OSU scored in the 4th quarter to go up 19-14, as a 6 pt. It was the Ohio State/Wisconsin game, Clarett title year. I started gathering witnesses for the streak with phone calls to other punters telling how the upcoming play would surely go. For 30 years on 2-point tries at the end of games which affected covers, I was on the wrong side of every one, except one. Two math anomalies:ġ: A 2-point conversion is about a 40% proposition, ranging from upper 30's to upper 40's in various seasons and levels of play. Decades later, I was in a swimming pool with a math professor, and I asked her: "What is calculus anyway?" If I remember right she said, "For figuring the area under the curve." "Oh," I said, eruditely.įast forward to my seminal gambling career. Interestingly this probably came from a game we played as boys hand held calculators had just come out, and one of us five boys would give a long string of numbers, adding and subtracting them, figuring it up on the calculator, while the other four did it in our heads seeing who would get it right.īut the higher maths wasn't happening with me. ![]() I felt almost like there was a scaffolding in my mind where the numbers would jump around and add themselves up almost by itself. If I remember right that was mostly because I had had the same courses in high school getting C's. However I must say I was bit impressed with myself recently viewing my old college transcripts to see that I got B's in a couple of calculus classes.
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